End of Moore’s Law Predicted (Again)


Gordon Moore & Robert Noyce at Intel 1970

According to Moore’s Law, the number of transistors that can be packed onto a computer chip doubles every two years, and thus the power of computers would double in the same period.

To back this up, Intel calculates that the transistors it now produces run 90,000 times more efficiently and are 60,000 times cheaper than the first one it produced in 1971.

Historically, the price of computers has stayed relatively the same, allowing for inflation. But, according to this article at The Economist, the end of Moore’s Law is possibly in sight, due not to physical constraints, but to pure economics: with the rise of cloud computing, the focus is less on desktop computers and more on server centres, which use various strategies to ‘load balance’ their processing power.

But this has been predicted before…